When it comes to the acting awards at the year’s Oscars, it looks things could get very British. No, not because the world has gone mad over Prince William and Kate Middleton’s wedding. Because Brit Colin Firth looks like an almost shoe-in to win Best Actor for his performance in “The King’s Speech,” while his fellow countryman Christian Bale—who in all honesty, I didn’t realize was British until just a few weeks ago—is the favorite to win Best Supporting Actor. While we were too busy with the Super Bowl to watch the BAFTA Awards—that’s the British Academy of Film and Television Arts—maybe we should have been paying more attention. Back in 2000, the British award show moved to February so that it would it would precede the Oscars. Ever since, it has become like looking in a crystal ball. Last year, 12 of the 18 major BAFTA winners went on to win Oscars. [EW]
The predictive powers of the BAFTAs get even more impressive when you limit it to the top six categories—Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress. I crunched the numbers and, over the past few years, 80 percent of the winners have overlapped. After the jump, take a look at the BAFTA effect played out in the past few years, and what it could mean for this year’s Oscar hopefuls. Keep reading »